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After 8 days of hot weather in the UK a low pressure system slowly moved
in from the Atlantic. Ahead of this a warm moist air plume was advected
in from France into the South East. Dewpoints were set to reach 20C and
CAPE values up to 1200J/Kg (although this was slightly unrealistic
1000J/kg was entirely possible). With deep layer shear in the range of
15-20m/s an MCS was likely to form over Northern France in the early
evening and make landfall somewhere on the south coast although location
was very difficult to predict due to the sub-model scale of the system.
Ahead of this storms were forecast to break out, with a convective
temperature of 28C easily obtainable.
The UK Storm Chasers decided to rendezvous in Winchester which was a
mid-point between the two events so that split-second decisions could be
made on the morning of the chase. Our aim was to chase the pre-frontal
storms until the early evening and then ‘fly’ south to the coast to
photograph the evening’s MCS.
The first turkey towers attempted to break the cap around 1pm and a
clear cumulus field was visible on satellite images stretching from
London to Bath in a line about 30 miles south of the M4. At this point
we decided to position ourselves at the front edge of this cumulus field
to wait for a cell to break the cap.
Using our new 3G wireless internet dongle we were able to continuously
monitor the radar whilst sitting on the M4 services near Newbury and
observing the now numerous convective cells breaking the cap. At 15:00
the first storm formed and the large CAPE was obvious with the crisp
edged updrafts and towers. Heading north, we got ahead of the first
cell, which became electrically active only 20 minutes after formation.
Sitting on a hillside we watched it approach with numerous c-c lightning
but it was a very non-photogenic storm due to the high humidity making
the atmosphere hazy and the intense rain core.
Further intense cells had formed to our west and were also becoming
active so the UK Storm Chasers headed down the M4 towards Bristol
keeping alongside the Cells as they crossed the motorway on their
north-west trajectory. Pulling in just outside Bristol it was obvious
the cells we were on were going to cross the Severn Estuary before we
could get under their bases. The time was now 5pm (the agreed latest
time we would leave this weather event and head south) and deciding that
the best was yet to come we made the decision not to enter Wales but
head to the coast instead, so we left these thunderstorms to rumble on
north-westwards. Just before we left a huge CG came down right in front
of us, no more than 2 miles away, spectacularly lighting up the sky – a
great ending to our warm-up chase!
Whilst on the journey south, the mood in the car deteriorated rapidly as
sferic and radar maps showed the storms we had left intensifying
significantly and putting on what must have been a spectacular light
show for those in their path. Resisting the temptation to turn around in
which would have been a impossible task of catching the storms we kept
faith in our meteorology and the forecast and ploughed on south into
hazy blue skies. To confound things further the approaching front was
not yet electrically active and it appeared we were heading to Sandbanks
to observe moderate drizzle (not for the first time!). Thank fully by
the time we reached Blandford at around 7pm, radar indicated a lone cell
forming just ahead of the front heading approximately towards the New
Forest. This then became our target but on reaching the Forest this cell
ahead weakened and another formed again to its east. In desperation now
that we may miss everything we set Eastbourne as our target, finally
catching the cell as it made landfall in Hastings.
We were treated to an unbelievable lightning display as frequent CG’s
hit the sea as the storm approached land. As the storm became overhead
the lightning and thunder became instantaneous. At one point we heard
the thunder before the lightning had even disintegrated. Unfortunately a
house had been just down the road and an ambulance and three fire
engines soon speeded past us. Hopefully everyone was ok.
This storm now rolled inland and we decided to head further east as the
main front which was now very active and making landfall near
Folkestone. Treating us to one final light display for over an hour it
was a great ending to the day. During the long journey back we checked
the forecast for the following day (now the current day) and saw again
huge potential for storms in Wales. Reaching home at 3:13am cameras were
put on charge and some brief sleep had. See the 29-07-08 chase!
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